On the Possibility of Forecasting the Long-Term Air
Temperature Variability that Determines the Hydrophysical
Structure and Ecology of the Black Sea Waters

V. B. Titov and M. T. Savin

Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, (Southern Branch), Russian Academy of Sciences, Gelendzhik, Golubaya Bukhta, 353470
Russia

e-mail: hydro@sdios.coast.ru

Received April 13, 2006; in final form, December 12, 2006

Abstract—Periods and amplitudes of long-term temperature fluctuations were obtained using the methods of
spectral analysis and filtration of secular time series of the air temperature at 13 hydrometeorological stations
in the Black Sea region. The prognostic calculations of the long-term air temperature variability are based on
the results of processing of time series. The calculations of the air temperature agree with the data of observa-
tions. The possibility of the long-term air temperature variability prediction is shown.

DOI: 10.1134/S0001437007060021

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