Refocusing on the Dynamics of the Earths Climate

S. I. Bartsev^a, P. V. Belolipetskii^b, A. G. Degermendzhi^a, Yu. D. Ivanova^a,
A. A. Pochekutov^a, and M. Yu. Saltykov^a *

^a Institute of Biophysics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch, Krasnoyarsk, Russia

^b Institute of Computer Simulation, Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch, Krasnoyarsk, Russia

e-mail: bartsev@yandex.ru; pbel@icm.krasn.ru; ibp@ibp.ru; lulja@yandex.ru; a-a-po@mail.ru;
saltykoff.mixail@yandex.ru

Received June 16, 2015

Abstract—Our opinion on the properties of the Earth’s climate system does not coincide with that generally
accepted. Statistical analysis shows that, if we put aside the most substantial natural perturbing factors, the long-
term global temperature dynamics appears as a step function of time. This dynamics is fundamentally different
from the climate system’s continuous response to external anthropogenic effects, which is demonstrated in the
models of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The variants illustrated by a simple model (the sys-
tem, affected either inadvertently or externally, changes from one quasi-stationary state to another) seem to be
more suitable.

Keywords: climate modeling, global temperature dynamics, temperature-regulating mechanism.

10.1134/S1019331616020015

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